I never dreamed that I would someday publish a book, whether physical or electronic. It all started in the late 1990s when I picked up a free copy of Ron Shandler's Baseball Forecaster at a sports card show. After reading the annual publication from cover to cover, I would never look at baseball statistics the same way again. Having been completely immersed in the exciting world of fantasy baseball, I began forecasting baseball player performance and producing projections of my own, and have been doing so ever since. Following years of spreadsheets and calculations, I finally made the epic decision to share my process with the world.
I am the 2015 Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA) Baseball Writer of the Year and currently write for the baseball statistics and analysis website FanGraphs. I was also named a finalist by the FSWA for Best Article on the Web in 2013 and Writer of the Year in 2014. I compete in the Tout Wars and LABR fantasy baseball expert leagues and won the 2013 Tout Wars mixed draft league. Aside from my passion for number crunching, I also enjoy traveling, taking photos during those travels, attending concerts and comedy shows, and munching on falafel sandwiches.
*The eagerly anticipated follow up to the groundbreaking first version of Projecting X!*
In Projecting X 2.0: How to Forecast Baseball Player Performance, FanGraphs expert Mike Podhorzer takes you on a journey through the process of projecting baseball player performance. As he walks you through an assortment of both basic and advanced metrics, citing various pieces of relevant research along the way, you will learn the whats, whys, and hows of each statistic.
Once you become an expert on analyzing the statistics and metrics used in forecasting, you will discover how to use those newly acquired skills. A complete step-by-step tutorial on developing a Microsoft Excel spreadsheet to perform the calculations is included, as well as examples of the forecasting process in action as Mike guides you through a hitter and pitcher projection.
***New in Version 2.0***
• New research and more effective methods for projecting BABIP, RBI and runs scored, stolen bases, and pitcher strikeout and walk percentages
• Pitcher Quality Start projections!
• Even more screenshots of relevant data in tabular and graphical form
• Discussions about the usefulness of Spring Training stats and how new technology continues to help move the statistical revolution forward
• Excel tips and frequently asked questions to ensure your spreadsheet is immaculate
Table of Contents:
Introduction
Projection Systems
Projection Methodology
Spring Training
New Technology and Statcast
Chapter 1: Projecting Hitter Performance
Plate Appearances (PA)
Doubles and Triples (2B and 3B)
Strikeout Percentage (K%)
Ground Ball, Line Drive, Fly Ball Rates (GB%/LD%/FB%)
Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP)
Home Run per Fly Ball Rate (HR/FB)
Runs Batted In and Runs Scored (RBI and R)
Stolen Bases (SB)
Chapter 2: Projecting Pitcher Performance
Innings Pitched (IP)
Strikeout Percentage (K%)
Walk Percentage (BB%)
Ground Ball, Line Drive, Fly Ball Rates (GB%/LD%/FB%)
Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP)
Home Run per Fly Ball Rate (HR/FB)
Saves (SV)
Chapter 3: Creating an Excel Spreadsheet to Project Hitter Performance
Chapter 4: Developing a Hitter Projection
Chapter 5: Creating an Excel Spreadsheet to Project Pitcher Performance
Chapter 6: Developing a Pitcher Projection
Chapter 7: Putting a Bow on It
Chapter 8: Frequently Asked Questions
About the Author
Support Me!
Título : Projecting X 2.0: How to Forecast Baseball Player Performance
EAN : 9781311180100
Editorial : Mike Podhorzer
El libro electrónico Projecting X 2.0: How to Forecast Baseball Player Performance está en formato ePub
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